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AHT: 11CSV

11 Nov 2019 · 19:45

Lens

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.0%
Rodez
24.6%
Draw
32.5%
Lens

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Rodez

vs
1.15

Lens

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).