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AHT: 01CSV

27 May 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.3%
St Mirren
23.4%
Draw
63.2%
Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

St Mirren

vs
1.82

Rangers

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).