Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Dag and Red
31.9%
Draw
30.2%
Chorley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Dag and Red
vs
0.99
Chorley
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).