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14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.3%
Romsey Town
34.4%
Draw
13.3%
Larkhall Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Romsey Town

vs
0.36

Larkhall Athletic

Markets

BTTS19.3%
Over 0.575.5%
Over 1.540.3%
Over 2.516.5%
Over 3.55.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
25.8%
0-0
24.5%
2-0
13.1%
0-1
9.3%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
1-2
1.7%
0-2
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-0
1.2%
2-2
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).