Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
FeralpiSalo
20.6%
Draw
13.8%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
FeralpiSalo
vs
0.95
Lecco
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).