Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Everton
32.3%
Draw
20.9%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Everton
vs
0.79
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
1-0
14.4%
0-0
14.2%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).