Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Port Vale
25.0%
Draw
45.1%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Port Vale
vs
1.36
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).