Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Burnley
22.9%
Draw
6.8%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Burnley
vs
0.37
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS26.2%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.5%
2-0
18.2%
0-0
13.0%
3-0
10.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-0
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).