Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.1%
Ath Bilbao
21.2%
Draw
60.6%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Ath Bilbao
vs
2.08
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
8.7%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).