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28 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.2%
Portsmouth
29.7%
Draw
43.1%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Portsmouth

vs
1.34

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).