Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Cambridge
25.3%
Draw
32.0%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Cambridge
vs
1.09
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).