Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Amorebieta
29.0%
Draw
31.7%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Amorebieta
vs
1.01
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).