Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Rio Ave
29.8%
Draw
35.7%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Rio Ave
vs
1.01
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-0
14.1%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).