Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Getafe
30.7%
Draw
17.3%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Getafe
vs
0.58
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS31.5%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.8%
0-0
16.5%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).