Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Fulham
21.2%
Draw
13.9%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Fulham
vs
0.87
Swansea
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.1%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).