Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Ath Madrid
18.9%
Draw
10.9%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Ath Madrid
vs
0.73
Espanol
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).