Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.7%
Burnley
17.0%
Draw
4.3%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Burnley
vs
0.34
QPR
Markets
BTTS25.8%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
19.2%
1-0
17.7%
3-0
13.5%
0-0
9.1%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
5-0
3.0%
4-1
2.4%
0-1
2.4%
2-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).