Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Aldershot
25.7%
Draw
30.7%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Aldershot
vs
1.37
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).