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AHT: 00CSV

03 Mar 2024 · 16:05

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.2%
Rennes
20.3%
Draw
24.6%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Rennes

vs
1.30

Lorient

Markets

BTTS62.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
0-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).