Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.0%
Karpaty
16.2%
Draw
75.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Karpaty
vs
2.38
Shakhtar Donetsk
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.8%
0-1
11.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
7.0%
0-4
6.5%
0-0
5.1%
1-4
4.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).