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HHT: 21CSV

18 Mar 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.1%
QPR
21.7%
Draw
13.2%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

QPR

vs
0.80

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.1%
0-1
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).