Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.8%
Norwich
20.0%
Draw
72.2%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Norwich
vs
2.15
Brighton
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.8%
0-1
12.6%
0-3
10.6%
1-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
7.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
0-5
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).