Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Crewe
24.1%
Draw
22.9%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Crewe
vs
0.87
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).