Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.2%
Sudtirol
28.1%
Draw
18.7%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Sudtirol
vs
0.81
Mantova
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).