Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Watford
26.0%
Draw
49.8%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Watford
vs
1.69
Coventry
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).