Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.0%
Cosenza
25.5%
Draw
59.4%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Cosenza
vs
1.73
Parma
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).