Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.1%
Union Berlin
23.3%
Draw
58.5%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Union Berlin
vs
1.92
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.1%
0-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).