Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Cartagena
26.1%
Draw
48.6%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Cartagena
vs
1.47
Albacete
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).