Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Holstein Kiel
24.1%
Draw
39.5%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.73
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS67.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).