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21 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.6%
Morecambe
20.9%
Draw
61.5%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Morecambe

vs
1.91

Bromley

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).