Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Shrewsbury
24.6%
Draw
38.3%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Shrewsbury
vs
1.28
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).