Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.2%
Sheffield Wednesday
28.2%
Draw
55.6%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
1.48
Stoke
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-2
12.6%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).