Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
Leganes
33.8%
Draw
34.6%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Leganes
vs
0.87
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.550.4%
Over 2.524.2%
Over 3.59.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.2%
0-1
16.2%
1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
0-3
2.0%
3-0
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).