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13 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.1%
Livingston
29.2%
Draw
17.7%
Partick

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Livingston

vs
0.82

Partick

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).