Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Jagiellonia Białystok
27.7%
Draw
23.6%
Korona Kielce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
1.00
Korona Kielce
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).