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27 Feb 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.5%
Dunkerque
18.6%
Draw
14.9%
Chambly

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Dunkerque

vs
0.82

Chambly

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
4.9%
4-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).