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AHT: 00CSV

25 Aug 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.5%
Paderborn
25.5%
Draw
26.0%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Paderborn

vs
1.24

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS60.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).