Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Stuttgart
25.2%
Draw
35.1%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Stuttgart
vs
1.51
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).