Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.8%
Brescia
29.3%
Draw
24.9%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Brescia
vs
0.98
Cesena
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).