Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Burgos
33.6%
Draw
31.4%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Burgos
vs
0.82
Espanol
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.550.9%
Over 2.524.6%
Over 3.59.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.9%
1-0
16.2%
0-1
15.0%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
0-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).