Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Leganes
26.3%
Draw
37.2%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Leganes
vs
1.36
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).