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17 Feb 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.4%
Barnsley
19.5%
Draw
35.1%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Barnsley

vs
1.83

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS72.9%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.555.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
1-1
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).