Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
York
25.3%
Draw
38.7%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
York
vs
1.62
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).