Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.9%
Las Palmas
15.2%
Draw
75.9%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Las Palmas
vs
2.62
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.2%
0-3
9.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
0-0
3.5%
0-5
3.3%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).