Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Holstein Kiel
25.6%
Draw
32.6%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.47
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS63.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).