Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Almeria
25.2%
Draw
32.5%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Almeria
vs
1.26
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).