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AHT: 01CSV

15 Dec 2019 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Motherwell
30.5%
Draw
31.7%
Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Motherwell

vs
1.04

Rangers

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).