Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Nacional
18.3%
Draw
11.8%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Nacional
vs
0.70
AVS
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).