Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.2%
Salernitana
15.4%
Draw
75.4%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Salernitana
vs
2.45
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.5%
0-1
10.4%
0-3
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
1-3
7.4%
1-1
7.3%
0-4
6.3%
1-4
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
1-0
3.2%
0-5
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).