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10 Dec 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.4%
Maidstone
26.8%
Draw
50.8%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Maidstone

vs
1.62

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS51.7%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.5%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).